
Quantum Computing Inc.
- What it sells
- Service is 54% of revenue (fiscal year to Dec 2025), down from 99% two years earlier.
- Growing?
- Yes: revenue up 2,374% on a year earlier (quarter ended Sep 2026).
- Expensive?
- Price-to-sales (P/S) 69.7×. Below the peer median of 119x. The market pays less per $1 of revenue than for peers.
- Analysts?
- 67% of 6 say buy; average 12-month target $18.67, 221% above today's price.
- Risky?
- Much swingier than most large companies: its price swung 90% over the past year (the S&P 500's 14%), and it fell as much as 94% since Nov 2021.
Quantum Computing Inc. (QCi) is an integrated photonics and quantum optics technology company that sells room‑temperature, low‑power quantum machines (including the Dirac-3 quantum optimization machine) and provides thin‑film lithium niobate (TFLN) photonic chip foundry services.
More about Quantum Computing
Revenue is generated primarily from foundry services, product/system sales, and contracts/engagements tied to its technology development and deployments.
Market Position
QCi positions itself as a vertically integrated player spanning TFLN chip fabrication (Fab 1) through packaged photonic/quantum systems, differentiating on room‑temperature operation, SWaP-C (size/weight/power/cost) and the ability to deliver both hardware and foundry services. It competes indirectly with larger quantum platforms and photonics suppliers while targeting applications across AI/HPC connectivity, optimization, cybersecurity/communications, and remote sensing.
Key Segments
Key activities center on (1) Quantum/photonic computing systems (e.g., Dirac-3, Neurawave reservoir computer) and (2) TFLN foundry services for manufacturing photonic chips, with recent M&A expanding into photonics components (via Luminar Semiconductor) and quantum communications (via NuCrypt).
How has the stock done?
Over the past month QUBT fell 16.0%; the technology ETF (XLK) fell 11.5% and the S&P 500 fell 2.7%.
Over the past six months QUBT fell 50.6%; the technology ETF (XLK) fell 0.8% and the S&P 500 rose 2.6%.
Over the past year QUBT fell 47.8%; the technology ETF (XLK) rose 18.2% and the S&P 500 rose 10.8%.
Over five years QUBT fell 11.3%; the technology ETF (XLK) rose 107.7% and the S&P 500 rose 62.0%.
From Nov 9, 2021 to Jul 1, 2024, the deepest drop from a high since Nov 2021
How much the price swings in a year; the S&P 500's was 14%
When the S&P 500 moves 1%, the stock has moved about 3.5% the same way
Show the earnings releases
| Released | Quarter | Revenue | EPS vs estimate | Stock, day after | 5 days after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | ended Sep 2026 | $9.5M (+2374% vs a year earlier) | −$0.06 vs −$0.06 (in line) | −0.5% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | ended Jun 2026 | $5.6M (+9000% vs a year earlier) | −$0.04 vs −$0.05 (beat) | −2.5% | −1.4% |
| May 11, 2026 | ended Mar 2026 | $3.7M (+9364% vs a year earlier) | −$0.03 vs −$0.05 (beat) | +22.7% | +1.2% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | ended Dec 2025 | $198K (+219% vs a year earlier) | −$0.04 vs −$0.04 (in line) | −8.1% | −9.3% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | ended Sep 2025 | $384K (+280% vs a year earlier) | — | +14.7% | +1.7% |
| Jun 11, 2024 | ended Mar 2024 | $27K (−78% vs a year earlier) | — | +2.4% | −3.2% |
| Mar 30, 2023 | ended Dec 2022 | $1,278 | — | +11.0% | +20.3% |
Change in closing price from the first day shown, or with Price the closing price itself. Prices: Yahoo Finance, to Nov 12, 2026. Dashed lines: the days the company released earnings (its SEC 8-K filings); EPS estimates: Yahoo Finance. The stock's move after a release runs from the last close before its day to the close the day after (or five days after), so a release before the open counts like one after the close.
Is the business growing?
Revenue was $9.5M in the quarter ended Sep 2026, up 2,374% from a year earlier.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Revenue | vs a year earlier |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2022 | $1,278 | — |
| Mar 2023 | $121K | +287% |
| Jun 2023 | $112K | +71% |
| Sep 2023 | $50K | +33% |
| Dec 2023 | $75K | +5769% |
| Mar 2024 | $27K | −78% |
| Jun 2024 | $183K | +63% |
| Sep 2024 | $101K | +102% |
| Dec 2024 | $62K | −17% |
| Mar 2025 | $39K | +44% |
| Jun 2025 | $61K | −67% |
| Sep 2025 | $384K | +280% |
| Dec 2025 | $198K | +219% |
| Mar 2026 | $3.7M | +9364% |
| Jun 2026 | $5.6M | +9000% |
| Sep 2026 | $9.5M | +2374% |
Revenue went from $136K in FY22 to $682K in FY25; net income from −$26M to −$19M.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| FY22 | $136K | −$26M |
| FY23 | $358K | −$27M |
| FY24 | $373K | −$69M |
| FY25 | $682K | −$19M |
In the fiscal year to Dec 2025, Service was 54% and Product was 46% of revenue; Service fell from 99% in the fiscal year to Dec 2023.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | Service | $353K | 99% |
| FY2023 | Product | $5,000 | 1% |
| FY2024 | Service | $346K | 93% |
| FY2024 | Product | $27K | 7% |
| FY2025 | Service | $368K | 54% |
| FY2025 | Product | $314K | 46% |
In the fiscal year to Dec 2025, United States was 87% and Europe was 10% of revenue; United States fell from 96% in the fiscal year to Dec 2023.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | United States | $342K | 96% |
| FY2023 | Europe | $16K | 4% |
| FY2025 | United States | $592K | 87% |
| FY2025 | Europe | $65K | 10% |
| FY2025 | Asia | $25K | 4% |
A year earlier $0.01
Diluted, from SEC filings
Quarters: Quantum Computing Inc.'s SEC filings, named by the month they end. Fiscal years: Quantum Computing Inc.'s annual reports to the SEC.
How it makes money
The company loses $2738.1 for every $100 of revenue. Operating expenses exceed all of gross profit.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Gross | Operating | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2022 | −1,405.6% | −1,426,295.3% | −1,469,965.1% |
| Mar 2023 | 53.7% | −5,037.2% | −5,071.9% |
| Jun 2023 | 54.5% | −6,212.5% | −6,622.3% |
| Sep 2023 | 52.0% | −13,222.0% | −13,682.0% |
| Dec 2023 | 13.3% | −8,772.0% | −8,836.0% |
| Mar 2024 | 40.7% | −23,403.7% | −23,837.0% |
| Jun 2024 | 31.7% | −2,878.1% | −2,838.3% |
| Sep 2024 | 8.9% | −5,384.2% | −5,618.8% |
| Dec 2024 | 54.8% | −14,377.4% | −82,640.3% |
| Mar 2025 | 33.3% | −21,246.2% | 43,543.6% |
| Jun 2025 | 42.6% | −16,673.8% | −59,806.6% |
| Sep 2025 | 32.8% | −2,709.4% | 620.3% |
| Dec 2025 | −49.5% | −11,220.2% | −785.9% |
| Mar 2026 | −19.5% | −556.8% | −109.7% |
| Jun 2026 | −21.0% | −414.6% | −211.7% |
| Sep 2026 | 4.5% | −300.9% | −159.4% |
Beyond ±100% the scale is logarithmic, so that Dec 2022's −1,469,965% and the quarters near zero both read. Circled: Dec 2022 (net −1,469,965.1%, operating −1,426,295.3%), Dec 2024 (net −82,640.3%, operating −14,377.4%), Mar 2025 (net 43,543.6%, operating −21,246.2%), Jun 2025 (net −59,806.6%, operating −16,673.8%), Sep 2025 (net 620.3%, operating −2,709.4%), Dec 2025 (net −785.9%, operating −11,220.2%). Net margin is usually about 49 points below operating margin; in those quarters something below operating income (a tax charge or benefit, a gain or loss on investments, a write-down) moved it, not the business itself.
−45.3 pts over 3 years
Loss exceeds revenue
Loss exceeds revenue
Each margin is that line of the income statement divided by revenue. Fiscal year: Quantum Computing Inc.'s annual reports to the SEC; quarters: SEC filings.
How long can the cash last?
Quantum Computing had $902M in cash and short-term investments at the end of Sep 2026. It burned $61M over the last four quarters (operating cash flow minus capital spending), so at that pace the cash lasts about 59 quarters. It raised $723M selling new shares over the same four quarters. Its diluted share count is up 142% from two years earlier.
Cash and short-term investments over the average quarterly burn
Operating cash flow minus capital spending
Cash from new common stock
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Cash and short-term investments | Free cash flow | Raised selling shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2023 | $7.4M | −$6.0M | $8.5M |
| Mar 2024 | $6.1M | −$5.4M | $12M |
| Jun 2024 | $2.5M | −$5.1M | $2.4M |
| Sep 2024 | $3.1M | −$5.1M | $0 |
| Dec 2024 | $79M | −$6.6M | $92M |
| Mar 2025 | $166M | −$6.2M | $94M |
| Jun 2025 | $349M | −$7.1M | $188M |
| Sep 2025 | $556M | −$12M | $475M |
| Dec 2025 | $1.1B | −$12M | $719M |
| Mar 2026 | $986M | −$11M | $3.5M |
| Jun 2026 | $954M | −$17M | $793K |
| Sep 2026 | $902M | −$21M | $355K |
From Quantum Computing Inc.'s SEC filings: cash and cash equivalents plus short-term investments (none where none is filed) at each quarter end; free cash flow is operating cash flow minus capital spending; shares are each quarter's diluted weighted average as filed, since the stock's listing and its latest split (a 10-K gives no fourth-quarter figure). Shown while the last four quarters' operating cash flow and net income are both negative.
Customers and suppliers
In its latest annual report Quantum Computing buys from Amazon, Pearl Meyer & Partners.
Partners
Changes since the previous annual report (10-K filed Mar 20, 2025)
Show the filing's words
| Company | Role | In the filing's words |
|---|---|---|
| Northrop Grumman | partner · co-develops with it | “Patent owned and developed jointly by Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation and Freedom Photonics, LLC, a subsidiary of Luminar.” |
| Amazon | supplier | “Our products and services may from time to time incorporate high-performance classical computing through public clouds to provide services to end users and our partners. These public cloud services are predominantly on Amazon Web Services at the present time.” |
| Pearl Meyer & Partners | supplier | “Under the terms of the 2026 Executive Compensation Framework, each of the eligible executive officers are expected to have their salary targeted at the 25th percentile average of comparable companies, as determined by our compensation consultant, Pearl Meyer & Partners, LLC.” |
| millionways | partner | “Also on June 6, 2023, pursuant to the terms of the MW Agreement, the Company purchased the MW Notes from millionways and loaned an aggregate principal amount of $500 thousand to millionways.” |
Only the companies Quantum Computing names in its 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026 (SEC). The supply chain joins the latest annual reports of the companies on it and the 8-Ks they filed since: a link shows when either side's report names the other, so it grows as more reports are read. Hover a name for the filing's own words.
Is it expensive?
Currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply, so we look at price-to-sales instead: 69.7x, below the peer median of 119x. Revenue is up 2374% from a year ago.
Below the peer median of 119x. The market pays less per $1 of revenue than for peers.
Show the data
| Company | Price-to-sales (P/S) |
|---|---|
| QBTS · D-Wave Quantum Inc. | 301× |
| RGTI · Rigetti Computing, Inc. | 276× |
| XNDU · Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited | 119× |
| QUBT · Quantum Computing Inc. | 69.7× |
| INFQ · Infleqtion, Inc. | 46.4× |
| IONQ · IonQ, Inc. | 37.7× |
Its peers here are the other quantum computing companies on this site, a group kept by hand: Yahoo Finance's Computer Hardware list is another business.
Quantum Computing Inc. is currently unprofitable, so P/E does not apply. We use price-to-sales instead: market cap as a multiple of revenue.
What analysts expect
The average analyst price target is $18.67, 221% above the current price; 67% of 6 analysts rate it a buy; earnings beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters.
Buy or Strong Buy: 4 analysts (67%). Sell or Strong Sell: 0.
Over the past year the average of the analysts' latest price targets went from $26.33 to $21.33 (−19%), while QUBT went from $10.03 to $5.82 (−42%). In the past three months targets were raised once and never cut. No firm upgraded or downgraded it over the year.
Show every change
| Date | Firm | Change | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Target kept | Buy | $22.00 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ascendiant Capital | Target raised | Buy | $32.00, was $30.00 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target kept | Neutral | $10.00 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Target kept | Buy | $22.00 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Target kept | Buy | $22.00 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Ascendiant Capital | Target raised | Buy | $30.00, was $27.00 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | Began coverage | Outperform | $20.00 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target cut | Neutral | $10.00, was $15.00 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Target kept | Buy | $22.00 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Began coverage | Buy | $22.00 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Ascendiant Capital | Target cut | Buy | $25.00, was $40.00 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target kept | Neutral | $15.00 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Wedbush | Began coverage | Neutral | $12.00 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Lake Street | Target cut | Buy | $16.00, was $24.00 |
Show the data
| Quarter | Estimate | Reported | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec ’25 | −$0.04 | −$0.04 | 0.0% |
| Mar ’26 | −$0.05 | −$0.03 | +40.0% |
| Jun ’26 | −$0.05 | −$0.04 | +20.0% |
| Sep ’26 | −$0.06 | −$0.06 | 0.0% |
The day after each of these reports the stock moved −8.1% (Dec 2025, in line); +22.7% (Mar 2026, beat); −2.5% (Jun 2026, beat); −0.5% (Sep 2026, in line).
For the quarter ending Dec 2026, analysts expect an adjusted loss of $0.12 a share, against a loss of $0.04 a year earlier, and revenue of $9.0M, up 4,426% on a year earlier. For the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, they expect revenue of $50M, up 75% on the year before's estimate.
Adjusted. Dec 2025: a loss of $0.04; range −$0.12 to −$0.12; 1 analysts
Dec 2025: $198K; range $9.0M to $9.0M; 1 analysts
The year to Dec 2026: $29M expected; range $39M to $61M; 6 analysts
Show the data
| Period | Figure | Expected | Low to high | Analysts | A year earlier | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter ending Dec 2026 | EPS (adjusted) | −$0.12 | −$0.12 to −$0.12 | 1 | −$0.04 (Dec 2025) | — |
| Quarter ending Dec 2026 | Revenue | $9.0M | $9.0M to $9.0M | 1 | $198K (Dec 2025) | +4426% |
| Quarter ending Mar 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | −$0.10 | −$0.13 to −$0.07 | 2 | −$0.03 (Mar 2026) | — |
| Quarter ending Mar 2027 | Revenue | $11M | $8.5M to $13M | 5 | $3.7M (Mar 2026) | +195% |
| Year ending Dec 2026 | Revenue | $29M | $26M to $34M | 6 | $682K (year to Dec 2025) | +4100% |
| Year ending Dec 2027 | Revenue | $50M | $39M to $61M | 6 | $29M (expected, year to Dec 2026) | +75% |
Targets, ratings and earnings estimates: Yahoo Finance. Rating and target changes: Yahoo Finance's list of upgrades and downgrades. The average target on each day is the average of every listed firm's latest target set in the 180 days before it, so it counts fewer analysts than the average target above, and the band is the middle half of those targets (a quarter of the firms are above it, a quarter below); a target set before a stock split is divided by the split. Expected figures: the average of the analysts' estimates (Yahoo Finance). Their EPS is adjusted, as analysts estimate it, so it is set against the adjusted EPS Yahoo reports for the same quarters, not the GAAP EPS of the growth and valuation sections; revenue against the SEC filings. No change is given against a quarter whose reported EPS was more than 50% off its own estimate (often a one-off gain or charge), nor against a year that counts one. Each estimate is pinned to its fiscal period by the report date or the period's end, and one that cannot be is left out.
Where the cash goes
Capex of $15M exceeds operating cash flow of −$46M, leaving free cash flow of −$61M. The gap has to be covered with cash on hand or borrowing.
Show the data
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Op. cash flow | −$46M |
| Capex | −$15M |
| Free cash flow | −$61M |
| Dividends | — |
| Buybacks | — |
| Cash retained | −$61M |
Free cash flow is negative, so the company is burning cash.
No dividend today; cash goes to growth and share buybacks.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Free cash flow | Dividends | Buybacks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2023 | −$6.0M | $215K | — |
| Mar 2024 | −$5.4M | $215K | — |
| Jun 2024 | −$5.1M | $0 | — |
| Sep 2024 | −$5.1M | $0 | — |
| Dec 2024 | −$6.6M | $0 | — |
| Mar 2025 | −$6.2M | — | — |
| Jun 2025 | −$7.1M | — | — |
| Sep 2025 | −$12M | — | — |
| Dec 2025 | −$12M | — | — |
| Mar 2026 | −$11M | — | — |
| Jun 2026 | −$17M | — | — |
| Sep 2026 | −$21M | — | — |
Free cash flow: operating cash flow minus capital spending on property, plant and equipment, from SEC filings, for the last 4 quarters and by quarter.
Financial health
Current ratio 102.4, no pressure to repay short-term debt; debt-to-equity 0.0, debt is very low and the balance sheet is solid.
Assets that can be turned into cash soon are 102.4x what is owed within a year. 1.5 or higher is comfortable; below 1 needs watching.
For every $1 of shareholder funds, there is $0.0 of debt (leases not counted). The higher the number, the more pressure when the economy weakens.
Cash and short-term investments of $1.1B and no debt. Lease obligations of $2M are not counted: they are rent owed, not money borrowed. It also holds $403M of long-term investments, which can be stakes in other companies rather than cash.
Latest fiscal year balance sheet. Source: Yahoo Finance.
What did the funds Hunch tracks do?
Of the 83 funds whose 13F filings Hunch reads, 3 held QUBT at the end of their latest quarter, Q3 2026. Over that quarter 1 added shares, 1 bought new and 1 held the same. The largest of them is Swiss National Bank, 399,000 shares worth $3.4M at Sep 30, 2026, 0.9% more than a quarter earlier.
1 of them new holders
Over their latest quarter
Show every fund
| Fund | Quarter | Shares | Value | Change in shares | Change | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss National Bank | Q3 2026 | 399,000 | $3.4M | +3,600 | +0.9% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| UNICOM Systems | Q3 2026 | 362,279 | $3.1M | 0 | 0.0% | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Fisher Asset Management | Q3 2026 | 10,983 | $93K | +10,983 | New | Nov 6, 2026 |
From the 13F filings of the 83 funds Hunch tracks, not of every institution: each fund's shares of QUBT at its latest quarter end against the quarter before, as filed (long positions only, options left out), the quarter before put on the latest quarter's share count across a split. A fund files 45 days after its quarter ends, so some have a newer quarter than others. Value is at the quarter end.
Are insiders buying or selling?
No officer or director bought or sold QUBT on the open market in the 12 months to Nov 12, 2026.
0 sales
0 purchases
From the Form 4s filed with the SEC about Quantum Computing Inc. (12 in the 12 months): purchases (code P) and sales (code S) on the open market by its officers and directors, at the price each filing gives (often an average of the day's trades). A sale is a 10b5-1 sale when its filing says it was made under such a plan, set up in advance. Not counted: 10 other transactions (grants, option exercises and shares sold to pay tax).