
Lam Research Corporation
- What it sells
- Systems Revenue is 64% of revenue (fiscal year to Jun 2026), up from 60% two years earlier.
- Growing?
- Yes: revenue up 54% on a year earlier (quarter ended Sep 2026); earnings per share up 48% over the last four quarters.
- Expensive?
- About usual: 34.8× trailing earnings; its five-year median is 24.3×. In line with the peer median of 39.4x.
- Analysts?
- 88% of 34 say buy; average 12-month target $363, 55% above today's price.
- Risky?
- Much swingier than most large companies: its price swung 69% over the past year (the S&P 500's 14%), and it fell as much as 57% since Nov 2021.
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) designs, manufactures, and services wafer-fabrication equipment used in front-end semiconductor manufacturing—particularly etch and deposition tools—plus related customer support, spares, upgrades, and software; revenue is primarily from systems sales and recurring customer support-related sales.
More about Lam Research
Market Position
Lam is one of the leading global wafer-fab equipment (WFE) suppliers, with a strong competitive position in conductor etch and a large installed base that supports high-margin recurring spares and services revenue.
How has the stock done?
Over the past month LRCX fell 24.5%; the semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell 15.1% and the S&P 500 fell 2.7%.
Over the past six months LRCX fell 19.2%; the semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell 10.6% and the S&P 500 rose 2.6%.
Over the past year LRCX rose 44.8%; the semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose 41.1% and the S&P 500 rose 10.8%.
Over five years LRCX rose 274.4%; the semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose 233.3% and the S&P 500 rose 62.0%.
From Jun 30, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026, the deepest drop from a high since Nov 2021
How much the price swings in a year; the S&P 500's was 14%
When the S&P 500 moves 1%, the stock has moved about 3.3% the same way
Show the earnings releases
| Released | Quarter | Revenue | EPS vs estimate | Stock, day after | 5 days after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | ended Sep 2026 | $8.2B (+54% vs a year earlier) | $2.20 vs $2.18 (beat) | −12.6% | −3.7% |
| Jul 29, 2026 | ended Jun 2026 | $6.7B (+30% vs a year earlier) | $1.82 vs $1.68 (beat) | +10.4% | +14.0% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | ended Mar 2026 | $5.8B (+24% vs a year earlier) | $1.47 vs $1.36 (beat) | +0.1% | −3.7% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | ended Dec 2025 | $5.3B (+22% vs a year earlier) | $1.27 vs $1.17 (beat) | +4.1% | −12.0% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | ended Sep 2025 | $5.3B (+28% vs a year earlier) | — | +1.7% | +10.8% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | ended Jun 2025 | $5.2B (+34% vs a year earlier) | — | −4.1% | −3.0% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | ended Mar 2025 | $4.7B (+24% vs a year earlier) | — | +11.7% | +12.9% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ended Dec 2024 | $4.4B (+16% vs a year earlier) | — | +8.3% | +10.0% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | ended Sep 2024 | $4.2B (+20% vs a year earlier) | — | +4.9% | +4.7% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | ended Jun 2024 | $3.9B (+21% vs a year earlier) | — | −2.9% | −12.5% |
| Apr 24, 2024 | ended Mar 2024 | $3.8B (−2% vs a year earlier) | — | +1.6% | −2.2% |
| Jan 24, 2024 | ended Dec 2023 | $3.8B (−29% vs a year earlier) | — | +4.2% | −0.6% |
| Oct 18, 2023 | ended Sep 2023 | $3.5B (−31% vs a year earlier) | — | −7.4% | −10.2% |
| Jul 26, 2023 | ended Jun 2023 | $3.2B (−31% vs a year earlier) | — | +8.0% | +5.5% |
| Apr 19, 2023 | ended Mar 2023 | $3.9B (−5% vs a year earlier) | — | +6.3% | +0.4% |
| Jan 25, 2023 | ended Dec 2022 | $5.3B (+25% vs a year earlier) | — | +2.1% | +8.8% |
| Oct 19, 2022 | ended Sep 2022 | $5.1B (+18% vs a year earlier) | — | +10.5% | +19.7% |
| Jul 27, 2022 | ended Jun 2022 | $4.6B (+12% vs a year earlier) | — | +8.4% | +17.3% |
| Apr 20, 2022 | ended Mar 2022 | $4.1B (+6% vs a year earlier) | — | −2.0% | −4.7% |
| Jan 26, 2022 | ended Dec 2021 | $4.2B (+22% vs a year earlier) | — | −5.6% | +4.0% |
Change in closing price from the first day shown, or with Price the closing price itself. Prices: Yahoo Finance, to Nov 12, 2026. Dashed lines: the days the company released earnings (its SEC 8-K filings); EPS estimates: Yahoo Finance. The stock's move after a release runs from the last close before its day to the close the day after (or five days after), so a release before the open counts like one after the close.
Is the business growing?
Revenue was $8.2B in the quarter ended Sep 2026, up 54% from a year earlier.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Revenue | vs a year earlier |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2022 | $5.3B | +25% |
| Mar 2023 | $3.9B | −5% |
| Jun 2023 | $3.2B | −31% |
| Sep 2023 | $3.5B | −31% |
| Dec 2023 | $3.8B | −29% |
| Mar 2024 | $3.8B | −2% |
| Jun 2024 | $3.9B | +21% |
| Sep 2024 | $4.2B | +20% |
| Dec 2024 | $4.4B | +16% |
| Mar 2025 | $4.7B | +24% |
| Jun 2025 | $5.2B | +34% |
| Sep 2025 | $5.3B | +28% |
| Dec 2025 | $5.3B | +22% |
| Mar 2026 | $5.8B | +24% |
| Jun 2026 | $6.7B | +30% |
| Sep 2026 | $8.2B | +54% |
Revenue went from $17.4B in FY23 to $23.2B in FY26; net income from $4.5B to $7.3B.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| FY23 | $17.4B | $4.5B |
| FY24 | $14.9B | $3.8B |
| FY25 | $18.4B | $5.4B |
| FY26 | $23.2B | $7.3B |
In the fiscal year to Jun 2026, Systems Revenue was 64% and Customer support-related revenue and other was 36% of revenue; Systems Revenue rose from 60% in the fiscal year to Jun 2024.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | Systems Revenue | $8.9B | 60% |
| FY2024 | Customer support-related revenue and other | $6.0B | 40% |
| FY2025 | Systems Revenue | $11.5B | 62% |
| FY2025 | Customer support-related revenue and other | $6.9B | 38% |
| FY2026 | Systems Revenue | $14.9B | 64% |
| FY2026 | Customer support-related revenue and other | $8.3B | 36% |
In the fiscal year to Jun 2026, China was 34% and Taiwan was 22% of revenue; Taiwan rose from 11% in the fiscal year to Jun 2024.
Show the data
| Fiscal year | Part | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | China | $6.3B | 42% |
| FY2024 | South Korea | $2.9B | 19% |
| FY2024 | Taiwan | $1.7B | 11% |
| FY2024 | Japan | $1.5B | 10% |
| FY2024 | United States | $1.1B | 7% |
| FY2024 | Other | $1.5B | 10% |
| FY2025 | China | $6.2B | 34% |
| FY2025 | South Korea | $4.1B | 22% |
| FY2025 | Taiwan | $3.4B | 19% |
| FY2025 | Japan | $1.9B | 10% |
| FY2025 | United States | $1.4B | 7% |
| FY2025 | Other | $1.4B | 8% |
| FY2026 | China | $7.9B | 34% |
| FY2026 | Taiwan | $5.2B | 22% |
| FY2026 | South Korea | $4.5B | 19% |
| FY2026 | Japan | $2.2B | 9% |
| FY2026 | United States | $1.5B | 7% |
| FY2026 | Other | $1.9B | 8% |
A year earlier $1.24
Diluted, from SEC filings
The P/E of 34.8× over the 48% EPS growth of the last four quarters; near 1 or below is cheap for the growth
Quarters: Lam Research Corporation's SEC filings, named by the month they end. Fiscal years: Lam Research Corporation's annual reports to the SEC.
How it makes money
Of every $100 in revenue, $31.3 ends up as net income. Net margin rose from 25.9% to 31.3% over the past 3 years.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Gross | Operating | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2022 | 45.0% | 31.8% | 27.8% |
| Mar 2023 | 41.5% | 24.4% | 21.0% |
| Jun 2023 | 45.5% | 26.6% | 25.0% |
| Sep 2023 | 47.5% | 29.4% | 25.5% |
| Dec 2023 | 46.8% | 28.1% | 25.4% |
| Mar 2024 | 47.5% | 27.9% | 25.5% |
| Jun 2024 | 47.5% | 29.1% | 26.4% |
| Sep 2024 | 48.0% | 30.3% | 26.8% |
| Dec 2024 | 47.4% | 30.5% | 27.2% |
| Mar 2025 | 49.0% | 33.1% | 28.2% |
| Jun 2025 | 50.1% | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| Sep 2025 | 50.4% | 34.4% | 29.5% |
| Dec 2025 | 49.6% | 33.9% | 29.8% |
| Mar 2026 | 49.8% | 35.0% | 31.2% |
| Jun 2026 | 51.7% | 37.4% | 33.9% |
| Sep 2026 | 52.3% | 40.0% | 33.5% |
+5.8 pts over 3 years
+5.6 pts over 3 years
+5.4 pts over 3 years
Each margin is that line of the income statement divided by revenue. Fiscal year: Lam Research Corporation's annual reports to the SEC; quarters: SEC filings.
Where it is in the chip cycle
Gross margin 52.3% and rising for 2 quarters; inventory at 136 days and falling for 2 years; capital spending 4.0% of revenue over the last 4 quarters.
Show the data
| Period | Inventory days |
|---|---|
| FY23 | 182 |
| FY24 | 196 |
| FY25 | 166 |
| FY26 | 136 |
How many days of sales are sitting in stock. Rising inventory days often come before a downturn: chips are being made faster than they sell.
Show the data
| Period | Capital spending |
|---|---|
| Sep ’25 | 3.5% |
| Dec ’25 | 4.9% |
| Mar ’26 | 5.7% |
| Jun ’26 | 2.8% |
| Sep ’26 | 3.1% |
Money put into factories and equipment. Heavy spending late in an upswing can leave the industry with too much capacity when demand cools.
Gross margin by fiscal quarter, from SEC filings. Inventory days: year-end inventory over that year's cost of revenue, times 365.
Customers and suppliers
In its latest annual report Lam Research sells to Micron Technology, Samsung, SK hynix and 1 more; it names no suppliers.
Suppliers
Customers
Their customers
Lam Research's 10-K for the year to Jun 2026 gives four customers' shares of its revenue: Customer One (16%), Customer Two (15%), Customer Four (12%) and Customer Three (12%).
Show the filings' numbers
| Period | Customer | Share of revenue | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year ended Jun 2024 | Customer One | 17% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
| Year ended Jun 2025 | Customer One | 17% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
| Year ended Jun 2025 | Customer Two | 15% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
| Year ended Jun 2026 | Customer One | 16% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
| Year ended Jun 2026 | Customer Two | 15% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
| Year ended Jun 2026 | Customer Four | 12% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
| Year ended Jun 2026 | Customer Three | 12% | 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 |
From Lam Research Corporation's 10-Q and 10-K filings (XBRL): each customer whose share of revenue a filing tags, under the filing's own label, so “Customer A” in one filing can be another company in the next; a later filing's figures for a period replace an earlier one's.
Changes since the previous annual report (10-K filed Aug 11, 2025)
Show the filing's words
| Company | Role | In the filing's words |
|---|---|---|
| Micron Technology | customer | “Our most significant customers during the fiscal years ending June 28, 2026, June 29, 2025, and June 30, 2024 included Micron Technology, Inc., Samsung Electronics Company, Ltd., SK hynix Inc., and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.” |
| Samsung | customer | “Our most significant customers during the fiscal years ending June 28, 2026, June 29, 2025, and June 30, 2024 included Micron Technology, Inc., Samsung Electronics Company, Ltd., SK hynix Inc., and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.” |
| SK hynix | customer | “Our most significant customers during the fiscal years ending June 28, 2026, June 29, 2025, and June 30, 2024 included Micron Technology, Inc., Samsung Electronics Company, Ltd., SK hynix Inc., and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.” |
| TSMC | customer | “Our most significant customers during the fiscal years ending June 28, 2026, June 29, 2025, and June 30, 2024 included Micron Technology, Inc., Samsung Electronics Company, Ltd., SK hynix Inc., and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.” |
| ASE Technology (20-F filed Apr 1, 2026) | calls it a supplier | “We purchase our packaging equipment from major international manufacturers, including All Ring Tech Co., Ltd., Marketech lnternational Corp., Grand Process Technology Corporation, Tokyo Electron Limited, and Lam Research Corporation.” |
| Celestica (10-K filed Feb 27, 2026) | calls it a customer | “Our ATS segment customers include Applied Materials, Inc., LAM Research and Honeywell Inc.” |
Only the companies Lam Research names in its 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026 (SEC). The supply chain joins the latest annual reports of the companies on it and the 8-Ks they filed since: a link shows when either side's report names the other, so it grows as more reports are read. Hover a name for the filing's own words.
Is it expensive?
P/E of 34.8x, in line with the peer median of 39.4x, with earnings still growing.
In line with the peer median of 39.4x.
Show the data
| Company | P/E (trailing) |
|---|---|
| ENTG · Entegris, Inc. | 59.6× |
| Q · Qnity Electronics, Inc. | 46.1× |
| KLAC · KLA Corporation | 39.4× |
| LRCX · Lam Research Corporation | 34.8× |
| AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc. | 32.9× |
| TER · Teradyne, Inc. | 30.3× |
At 34.8× trailing earnings LRCX is inside the middle of its five-year range; the five-year median is 24.3×.
Show the data
| Date | Trailing P/E |
|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2021 | 20.6× |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 18.0× |
| May 10, 2022 | 14.4× |
| Aug 10, 2022 | 15.1× |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 12.8× |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 13.9× |
| May 11, 2023 | 14.7× |
| Aug 11, 2023 | 19.7× |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 22.1× |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 35.0× |
| May 13, 2024 | 33.2× |
| Aug 13, 2024 | 29.0× |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 24.7× |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 25.3× |
| May 15, 2025 | 23.6× |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 24.0× |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 33.8× |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 48.4× |
| May 18, 2026 | 52.5× |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 56.9× |
| Nov 12, 2026 | 34.8× |
Closing price over diluted earnings per share of the last four reported quarters, as known on each day (a quarter counts 35 days after it ends). From SEC filings; earnings per share adjusted for splits.
What analysts expect
The average analyst price target is $363, 55% above the current price; 88% of 34 analysts rate it a buy; earnings beat estimates in all of the last 4 quarters.
Buy or Strong Buy: 30 analysts (88%). Sell or Strong Sell: 0.
Over the past year the average of the analysts' latest price targets went from $154.30 to $384.31 (+149%), while LRCX went from $153.32 to $233.78 (+52%). In the past three months targets were raised twice and cut 9 times. 2 upgrades and no downgrades over the year; the latest: Morgan Stanley moved it to Overweight from Equal-Weight on May 18, 2026.
Show every change
| Date | Firm | Change | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Target cut | Buy | $310.00, was $338.00 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | UBS | Target cut | Buy | $400.00, was $425.00 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Citigroup | Target cut | Buy | $435.00, was $450.00 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target cut | Overweight | $339.00, was $385.00 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mizuho | Target cut | Outperform | $360.00, was $365.00 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Needham | Target cut | Buy | $290.00, was $390.00 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Target cut | Outperform | $315.00, was $355.00 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $385.00, was $367.00 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Target raised | Buy | $390.00, was $350.00 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | UBS | Target cut | Buy | $425.00, was $435.00 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Mizuho | Target cut | Outperform | $365.00, was $370.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target cut | Overweight | $367.00, was $404.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Target cut | Buy | $350.00, was $385.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target cut | Overweight | $350.00, was $450.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Needham | Target kept | Buy | $390.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Jefferies | Target raised | Buy | $335.00, was $315.00 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | Outperform | $355.00, was $300.00 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Stifel | Target raised | Buy | $425.00, was $325.00 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Needham | Target raised | Buy | $390.00, was $300.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $400.00, was $340.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Mizuho | Target raised | Outperform | $400.00, was $380.00 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $404.00, was $331.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Positive | $475.00, was $385.00 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Overweight | $500.00, was $425.00 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Buy | $480.00, was $330.00 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $450.00, was $365.00 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $450.00, was $315.00 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $400.00, was $330.00 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $335.00, was $275.00 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Overweight | $425.00, was $320.00 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $375.00, was $310.00 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $365.00, was $320.00 |
| May 27, 2026 | Mizuho | Target raised | Outperform | $380.00, was $330.00 |
| May 18, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight, was Equal-Weight | $331.00, was $293.00 |
| May 5, 2026 | Seaport Global | Began coverage | Buy | $300.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $315.00, was $300.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $310.00, was $290.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $340.00, was $290.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target kept | Overweight | $320.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $315.00, was $300.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Stifel | Target raised | Buy | $325.00, was $300.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $275.00, was $255.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $320.00, was $290.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | Outperform | $300.00, was $275.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Buy | $330.00, was $285.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Needham | Target kept | Buy | $300.00 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Positive | $350.00, was $325.00 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $260.00, was $254.00 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $255.00, was $250.00 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $254.00, was $244.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $244.00, was $211.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Target raised | Buy | $262.00, was $180.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $300.00, was $165.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $275.00, was $255.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $300.00, was $265.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $290.00, was $260.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Stifel | Target raised | Buy | $280.00, was $250.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $290.00, was $250.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Overweight | $320.00, was $265.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Positive | $325.00, was $250.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | Outperform | $275.00, was $241.00 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Needham | Target raised | Buy | $300.00, was $250.00 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $265.00, was $190.00 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Target raised | Buy | $260.00, was $195.00 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $255.00, was $200.00 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Needham | Target raised | Buy | $250.00, was $160.00 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight, was Equal-Weight | $250.00, was $145.00 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RBC Capital | Began coverage | Outperform | $260.00 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Stifel | Target raised | Buy | $250.00, was $160.00 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | B of A Securities | Target raised | Buy | $245.00, was $195.00 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Bernstein | Target raised | Outperform | $225.00, was $175.00 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Mizuho | Target raised | Outperform | $220.00, was $200.00 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Overweight | $265.00, was $210.00 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $200.00, was $175.00 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Target raised | Buy | $195.00, was $180.00 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Mizuho | Target raised | Outperform | $200.00, was $170.00 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Jefferies | Target raised | Buy | $200.00, was $175.00 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $158.00, was $137.00 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $175.00, was $165.00 |
Show the data
| Quarter | Estimate | Reported | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec ’25 | $1.17 | $1.27 | +8.5% |
| Mar ’26 | $1.36 | $1.47 | +8.1% |
| Jun ’26 | $1.68 | $1.82 | +8.3% |
| Sep ’26 | $2.18 | $2.20 | +0.9% |
The day after each of these reports the stock moved +4.1% (Dec 2025, beat); +0.1% (Mar 2026, beat); +10.4% (Jun 2026, beat); −12.6% (Sep 2026, beat).
For the quarter ending Dec 2026 (Lam Research reports on Jan 27, 2027), analysts expect adjusted earnings of $2.35 a share, 85% more than the $1.27 of a year earlier, and revenue of $8.6B, up 62% on a year earlier. For the fiscal year ending Jun 2027, they expect adjusted earnings of $9.65 a share, and revenue of $35.4B, up 52% on the year before.
Adjusted. Dec 2025: $1.27; range $2.33 to $2.55; 26 analysts
Dec 2025: $5.3B; range $8.6B to $8.9B; 24 analysts
Adjusted. Range $9.20 to $10.30; 30 analysts
The year to Jun 2026: $23.2B; range $34.5B to $36.7B; 30 analysts
Show the data
| Period | Figure | Expected | Low to high | Analysts | A year earlier | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter ending Dec 2026, results Jan 27, 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | $2.35 | $2.33 to $2.55 | 26 | $1.27 (Dec 2025) | +85% |
| Quarter ending Dec 2026, results Jan 27, 2027 | Revenue | $8.6B | $8.6B to $8.9B | 24 | $5.3B (Dec 2025) | +62% |
| Quarter ending Mar 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | $2.48 | $2.35 to $2.84 | 26 | $1.47 (Mar 2026) | +69% |
| Quarter ending Mar 2027 | Revenue | $9.0B | $8.7B to $9.4B | 24 | $5.8B (Mar 2026) | +54% |
| Year ending Jun 2027 | EPS (adjusted) | $9.65 | $9.20 to $10.30 | 30 | — | — |
| Year ending Jun 2027 | Revenue | $35.4B | $34.5B to $36.7B | 30 | $23.2B (year to Jun 2026) | +52% |
| Year ending Jun 2028 | EPS (adjusted) | $12.24 | $10.41 to $15.12 | 28 | $9.65 (expected, year to Jun 2027) | +27% |
| Year ending Jun 2028 | Revenue | $42.6B | $36.5B to $49.1B | 28 | $35.4B (expected, year to Jun 2027) | +20% |
Targets, ratings and earnings estimates: Yahoo Finance. Rating and target changes: Yahoo Finance's list of upgrades and downgrades. The average target on each day is the average of every listed firm's latest target set in the 180 days before it, so it counts fewer analysts than the average target above, and the band is the middle half of those targets (a quarter of the firms are above it, a quarter below); a target set before a stock split is divided by the split. Expected figures: the average of the analysts' estimates (Yahoo Finance). Their EPS is adjusted, as analysts estimate it, so it is set against the adjusted EPS Yahoo reports for the same quarters, not the GAAP EPS of the growth and valuation sections; revenue against the SEC filings. No change is given against a quarter whose reported EPS was more than 50% off its own estimate (often a one-off gain or charge), nor against a year that counts one. Each estimate is pinned to its fiscal period by the report date or the period's end, and one that cannot be is left out.
Where the cash goes
Generated $6.5B in free cash flow over the year, of which $5.2B went back to shareholders (dividends plus buybacks), leaving $1.3B in the company.
Show the data
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Op. cash flow | $7.6B |
| Capex | −$1.1B |
| Free cash flow | $6.5B |
| Dividends | −$1.3B |
| Buybacks | −$3.9B |
| Cash retained | $1.3B |
For every $100 of market cap, the company generates about $2.2 in free cash flow a year.
For every $100 of market cap, you receive about $0.5 in dividends a year.
Dividends plus buybacks over the last four quarters: for every $100 of market cap, about $1.8 went back to shareholders.
Show the data
| Quarter ended | Free cash flow | Dividends | Buybacks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2023 | $1.3B | $264M | $645M |
| Mar 2024 | $1.3B | $263M | $981M |
| Jun 2024 | $762M | $261M | $374M |
| Sep 2024 | $1.5B | $261M | $997M |
| Dec 2024 | $554M | $298M | $698M |
| Mar 2025 | $1.0B | $296M | $435M |
| Jun 2025 | $2.4B | $295M | $1.3B |
| Sep 2025 | $1.6B | $292M | $976M |
| Dec 2025 | $1.2B | $328M | $1.5B |
| Mar 2026 | $810M | $326M | $1.2B |
| Jun 2026 | $1.3B | $325M | $247M |
| Sep 2026 | $3.2B | $325M | $1.0B |
Free cash flow: operating cash flow minus capital spending on property, plant and equipment, from SEC filings, for the last 4 quarters and by quarter.
Financial health
Current ratio 2.6, no pressure to repay short-term debt; debt-to-equity 0.3, debt is very low and the balance sheet is solid.
Assets that can be turned into cash soon are 2.6x what is owed within a year. 1.5 or higher is comfortable; below 1 needs watching.
For every $1 of shareholder funds, there is $0.3 of debt (leases not counted). The higher the number, the more pressure when the economy weakens.
Cash and short-term investments of $5.6B against debt of $3.7B. Lease obligations of $13M are not counted: they are rent owed, not money borrowed.
Latest fiscal year balance sheet. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Who holds it
In the filings of 2 members of Congress and 18 funds whose copy leaves LRCX out (on the exchange, not in the app yet): Blue Whale Capital, CloudAlpha Capital Management Limited/Hong Kong, Coatue Management, Tiger Global Management, Polen Capital Management, Whale Rock Capital Management and 14 more.
What did the funds Hunch tracks do?
Of the 83 funds whose 13F filings Hunch reads, 24 held LRCX at the end of their latest quarter (for most, Q2 2026). Over that quarter 6 added shares, 14 cut, 3 bought new, 1 sold all and 1 held the same. The largest of them is Norges Bank, 18.12M shares worth $7.9B at Jun 30, 2026, 14.9% fewer than at Dec 31, 2025.
3 of them new holders
1 of them sold all
Show every fund
| Fund | Quarter | Shares | Value | Change in shares | Change | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norges Bank | Q2 2026 vs Q4 2025 | 18.12M | $7.9B | −3.17M | −15% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Coatue Management | Q2 2026 | 9.44M | $4.1B | −601,902 | −6.0% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | Q2 2026 | 3.56M | $1.5B | +711,724 | +25% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Tiger Global Management | Q2 2026 | 3.16M | $1.4B | −736,944 | −19% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Baillie Gifford & | Q3 2026 | 3.50M | $1.1B | +3.50M | +6028783% | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Swiss National Bank | Q3 2026 | 3.42M | $1.1B | −101,500 | −2.9% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| National Pension Service | Q3 2026 | 3.37M | $1.1B | +4,417 | +0.1% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| Mirae Asset Global Investments | Q3 2026 | 1.61M | $529M | +120,411 | +8.1% | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Blue Whale Capital | Q2 2026 | 1.02M | $441M | −273,568 | −21% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Bridgewater Associates | Q2 2026 | 938,224 | $407M | −633,005 | −40% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Korea Investment | Q2 2026 | 910,493 | $395M | −112,738 | −11% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Polen Capital Management | Q2 2026 | 859,036 | $372M | −195,459 | −19% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Whale Rock Capital Management | Q2 2026 | 742,638 | $322M | −215,239 | −22% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Temasek Holdings (Private) | Q3 2026 | 681,802 | $224M | −73,202 | −9.7% | Oct 28, 2026 |
| Altimeter Capital Management | Q2 2026 | 394,080 | $171M | +394,080 | New | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Appaloosa | Q2 2026 | 382,500 | $166M | 0 | 0.0% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Renaissance Technologies | Q3 2026 | 475,661 | $156M | +444,061 | +1405% | Nov 12, 2026 |
| Nomura Holdings | Q2 2026 | 314,515 | $136M | +136,841 | +77% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Fisher Asset Management | Q3 2026 | 326,785 | $107M | −15,273 | −4.5% | Nov 6, 2026 |
| CloudAlpha Capital Management Limited/Hong Kong | Q3 2026 | 267,125 | $87.8M | −3,975 | −1.5% | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Tudor Investment Corp Et Al | Q2 2026 | 44,412 | $19.2M | −144,167 | −76% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Duquesne Family Office | Q2 2026 | 43,600 | $18.9M | +43,600 | New | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Third Point | Q2 2026 | 0 | — | −75,000 | Sold all | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Nan Shan Life Insurance | Q2 2026 | 7,338 | $3.2M | −39,237 | −84% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Maverick Capital | Q2 2026 | 4,083 | $1.8M | +4,083 | New | Aug 14, 2026 |
From the 13F filings of the 83 funds Hunch tracks, not of every institution: each fund's shares of LRCX at its latest quarter end against the quarter before, as filed (long positions only, options left out), the quarter before put on the latest quarter's share count across a split. A fund files 45 days after its quarter ends, so some have a newer quarter than others. Value is at the quarter end. Norges Bank filed its 13F for Q1 2026 confidentially, with no holdings made public, so its row compares Q2 2026 with Q4 2025.
Are insiders buying or selling?
Officers and directors sold $176M of LRCX on the open market in the 12 months to Nov 12, 2026; none bought. 77% of the sales were made under 10b5-1 plans, set up in advance. The largest was Timothy Archer (President and CEO), who sold $64.2M in 6 sales.
67 sales
0 purchases
Share of the sales' value
Show every trade
| Date | Insider | Role | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Bethany Mayer | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 16 | $208.50 | $3,336 | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Bethany Mayer | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 719 | $242.59 | $174K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Timothy Archer | President and CEO | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 31,400 | $227.02 | $7.1M | Oct 26, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Timothy Archer | President and CEO | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 30,000 | $319.26 | $9.6M | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bethany Mayer | Director | Sale | 9,557 | $314.74 | $3.0M | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Seshasayee Varadarajan | Senior Vice President | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 20,000 | $291.32 | $5.8M | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Seshasayee Varadarajan | Senior Vice President | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 12,270 | $291.32 | $3.6M | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Seshasayee Varadarajan | Senior Vice President | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 27,480 | $291.32 | $8.0M | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Ava Harter | Chief Legal Officer | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 5,000 | $302.46 | $1.5M | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Timothy Archer | President and CEO | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 30,000 | $300.00 | $9.0M | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Abhijit Y Talwalkar | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 18,282 | $335.00 | $6.1M | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Timothy Archer | President and CEO | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 30,000 | $390.01 | $11.7M | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 300 | $355.71 | $107K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,393 | $357.24 | $498K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,100 | $357.98 | $394K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 3,828 | $359.08 | $1.4M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,906 | $360.15 | $686K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 819 | $361.21 | $296K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 2,708 | $362.40 | $981K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 2,345 | $363.33 | $852K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 2,300 | $364.41 | $838K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,200 | $365.16 | $438K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 5,803 | $367.01 | $2.1M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 4,030 | $368.03 | $1.5M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 4,198 | $369.16 | $1.5M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 5,037 | $370.27 | $1.9M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 8,233 | $371.17 | $3.1M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 7,700 | $372.23 | $2.9M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,600 | $373.09 | $597K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 974 | $337.56 | $329K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,083 | $338.62 | $367K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,895 | $339.75 | $644K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,277 | $340.68 | $435K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,070 | $341.81 | $366K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 3,644 | $342.91 | $1.2M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,481 | $343.96 | $509K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 3,208 | $344.92 | $1.1M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 2,832 | $345.84 | $979K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 3,442 | $346.79 | $1.2M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 6,592 | $347.86 | $2.3M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 4,334 | $348.73 | $1.5M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,517 | $349.79 | $531K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 36 | $350.77 | $13K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,172 | $353.52 | $414K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,461 | $354.08 | $517K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,331 | $355.50 | $473K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,653 | $356.27 | $589K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,455 | $357.06 | $520K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,880 | $358.22 | $673K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 780 | $359.24 | $280K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 664 | $360.24 | $239K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 1,756 | $361.05 | $634K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 2,604 | $362.20 | $943K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 5,717 | $362.95 | $2.1M | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 642 | $364.00 | $234K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Neil J Fernandes | Senior Vice President | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 7,659 | $309.60 | $2.4M | Jun 2, 2026 |
| May 1, 2026 | Neil J Fernandes | Senior Vice President | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 18,170 | $255.14 | $4.6M | May 4, 2026 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Ava Harter | Chief Legal Officer | Sale | 6,010 | $258.66 | $1.6M | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Douglas R Bettinger | Chief Financial Officer & EVP | Sale | 50,057 | $224.03 | $11.2M | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ava Harter | Chief Legal Officer | Sale | 1,500 | $222.66 | $334K | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Douglas R Bettinger | Chief Financial Officer & EVP | Sale | 40,329 | $230.22 | $9.3M | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ava Harter | Chief Legal Officer | Sale | 4,000 | $232.50 | $930K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale | 17,000 | $220.95 | $3.8M | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Eric Brandt | Director | Sale | 18,000 | $230.00 | $4.1M | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Timothy Archer | President and CEO | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 50,000 | $163.86 | $8.2M | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Timothy Archer | President and CEO | Sale (10b5-1 plan) | 113,300 | $163.86 | $18.6M | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Douglas R Bettinger | Chief Financial Officer & EVP | Sale | 40,080 | $150.60 | $6.0M | Nov 17, 2025 |
From the Form 4s filed with the SEC about Lam Research Corporation (50 in the 12 months): purchases (code P) and sales (code S) on the open market by its officers and directors, at the price each filing gives (often an average of the day's trades). A sale is a 10b5-1 sale when its filing says it was made under such a plan, set up in advance. Not counted: 73 other transactions (grants, option exercises, shares withheld for tax and gifts).
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